Radarlogic Sees Trouble Ahead For Home Prices

As Seasonal Peak in Home Prices Passes the Signs Point to Trouble Ahead. Recent Growth in Foreclosure Filings Suggest REO Inventories May Balloon in Coming Months.

Home PricesIn July, the 25-MSA RPX Composite price remained essentially unchanged on a month-over-month basis, but declined year over year for the 13th month in a row.

RadarLogic®, in it’s July 2011 RPX Monthly Housing Market Report finds that the 25-MSA RPX Composite price (housing values for 25 major U.S. metropolitan areas) for July 21, 2011, was $187.24 per square foot, just 0.3 percent below the value for June 21, 2011, and 4.7 percent below the value for July 21, 2010.

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Existing-Home Sales Stronger In August Than Expected

Existing-home sales defy market predictions of little or no gain and increase nearly eight percent annually in August.

Existing Home SalesNational Association of Realtors® reports that, unlike new home sales that dropped 5.8 percent in August, existing-home sales increased for the same period, even though plagued with the same ongoing tight credit and appraisal problems as new home sales, including the regional disruptions created by Hurricane Irene.

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Clear Capital® Reports U.S. Home Prices Increase 4.0%

Summer’s Last Stand: Warm weather home buying season keeps prices moving up, but the slowing rate of growth and weakening consumer confidence point to a stormy Fall and Winter seasons.

House Price IndicesClear Capital, with data through August 2011, has released its monthly Home Data Index™ (HDI) Market Report.  According to the report, U.S. home price gains of 4.0 percent when comparing the most recent rolling quarter to the previous one. Though quarter-over-quarter gains continue across the nation’s four regions, the rate of growth has begun to slow as the summer buying season winds down and economic confidence shows signs of weakening.

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Strong Housing Market Key to Strong Economy

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The U.S. needs to make it more attractive for capital to flow back into the housing market to get the residential real estate industry — and the economy — back on track.

“Ultimately, a stronger housing market will be key in getting the economy back on track. Five years ago, few would have thought the country would be in a situation with home prices down some 30%. People seem incredulous that prices can drop further, but they can.”

William Emmons, assistant vice president and economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. September 7th, 2011.

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Mahoning Valley Housing Report, August 2011

Valley Median Home Price Up 2nd Straight Month;Sales Finally Show Some Life, Up 1.8 Percent

According to RE/MAX Valley Real Estate’s Mahoning Valley Housing Report (MVHR) for August, 2011, single family residential sales (not seasonally adjusted) soared 26.1 percent from 272 units in July to 343 in August. Although the month over month increase was dramatic it was not enough to avoid yet another decrease of 0.7 percent annually. The seasonally adjusted, year over year comparison of closed transactions dropped again for the 42nd consecutive month.

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Pending Homes Slip In July After Two Monthly Gains

NAR: Pending Home Sales Slip in July but Up Strongly From One Year Ago

Pending Home Sales - DecreaseAfter strong back to back showings for Pending Home Sales in May and June the forward-looking indicator declined in July but remained significantly above year-ago levels, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All regions joined the monthly decline except for the West, which continues to show the highest level of sales contract activity.

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Housing Market – All Signs Point Lower

Radar Logic predicts fragile housing market is likely to get worse through the end of 2011

House of CardsSigns of weakness in the housing market are abundant, according to the June 2011 RPX Monthly Housing Market Report released today by Radar Logic Incorporated. The RPX Composite price, which tracks housing values in 25 major metropolitan markets in the United States, declined 4.7 percent year over year through June, and this spring brought the smallest seasonal increase in the RPX Composite on record.

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NEW-HOME SALES: Awful, Third Consecutive Decline.

Consumers, discouraged by a climate of economic uncertainty, are reluctant to go forward with a major purchase for fear of what new financial crisis lurks in Washington.

New Home SalesLast week in Atkinson, Illinois, President Barack Obama conceded that it will take at least a year for housing prices and sales to even “start” rising. From the looks of the most recent new-home sales figures, he wasn’t kidding. July marked the third straight monthly new-home decline, and puts 2011 square on pace to become the worst year for new- home housing on record.

Sales of newly built, single-family homes dipped another 0.7 percent in July from the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 298,000 units, according to newly released data from the U.S. Commerce Department.

“While new-home inventories are exceptionally thin, home builders are still competing with large numbers of foreclosed and distressed homes on the market and a climate of uncertainty in which consumers are reluctant to go forward with a major purchase for fear of what economic news tomorrow might bring,” said Bob Nielsen, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).

“The sales pace of newly built, single-family homes in July was in line with what it has been over the last year, and this is in keeping with our forecast,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “While we expect to see some marginal gains in sales activity through the rest of 2011, we do not foresee any major advances until economic growth helps boost home buyers’ confidence.”

The inventory of new homes for sale in July fell to a 48-year record low of just 165,000 units, which represents a 6.6-month supply at the current sales pace.

“Putting this situation into perspective,” said Crowe, “The current nationwide inventory of completed new homes ready for occupancy – at 61,000 units – is in keeping with what a single major metropolitan area such as Atlanta might sell in a typical year.”

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Detroit Offers Incentives to Get Police Officers Moving

To help repopulate Detroit, the JPMorgan Chase Foundation has committed $1 million to help Detroit police officers and city employees buy foreclosed homes in designated neighborhoods.  

In an article by Steve Neavling, Detroit Free Press, August 18, 2011 he reported that with the help of a grant from J.P. Morgan Chase Foundation, Detroit hopes to lure back city police officers and employees to foreclosed homes in targeted neighborhoods within the city. But, Detroit policemen aren’t exactly falling over one another to take the bait.

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MVHR: July Valley Home Prices Rise

Home prices in the Valley Gain a little ground in July; sales also seem to pick up a little steam according to the Mahoning Valley Housing Report (MVHR).

According to RE/MAX Valley Real Estate’s Mahoning Valley Housing Report (MVHR) for July, single family residential sales (not seasonally adjusted) remain in the doldrums, falling 11.7 percent from 308 units in June to just 272 in July. However, sales this month did mark nearly a ten percent rise over July of 2010. The seasonally adjusted, month over month comparison of closed transactions dropped again for the 41st consecutive month.

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June Pending Home Sales Surprise with Gain

Pending Home Sales increase more than expected in June, up 2.4 percent.

Pending Home Sales IncreasePending home sales increased more than expected in June following a disappointing downturn in April and then a strong showing in May, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Activity in June increased in the West and South but declined in the Midwest and Northeast; however, all regions show robust double-digit gains from a year ago.

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